Toowong vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 2
TOO
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MGH
1 - 5
TOO
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ALB
4 - 0
TOO
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
TLA
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TOO
3 - 1
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 4
GEO
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 1
STO
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 3
ACA
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 3
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 2
GEO
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |