Tonsberg vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
SDF
2 - 0
TFC
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
OST
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 2
KFU
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
TFC
8 - 0
AIF
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -6 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ORN
0 - 4
TFC
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RBK
1 - 1
STR
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STR
1 - 1
MJO
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VIF
3 - 1
STR
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LSK
1 - 2
STR
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
STR
3 - 1
HIF
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |