Tonnerre vs Bafmeng United FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+333%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonnerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 2
TON
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
TON
1 - 0
RBA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
TON
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TON
1 - 1
AIR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
YFC
2 - 3
TON
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bafmeng United FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BUF
1 - 0
AIR
15%
22%
63%
|
16 | 65 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BUF
1 - 0
YFC
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 2
BUF
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 55 | 41 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
BUF
70%
20%
10%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BUF
1 - 0
RBA
12%
21%
66%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | +2 |