CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-5
Tonnerre FC vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonnerre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TON
3 - 0
ASP
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TON
1 - 0
DRA
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TON
1 - 0
GNN
11%
18%
71%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
TON
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GNN
1 - 1
TON
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUG
0 - 0
STA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
ONZ
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
STA
3 - 0
ASR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SIG
0 - 5
STA
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |