Tongeren vs Belisia Bilzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
12º
5º
56
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
52% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
BER
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PEP
3 - 0
TON
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TON
1 - 4
MEC
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 3
TON
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TON
1 - 2
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Belisia Bilzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
6 - 2
TUR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 0
SPO
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RCL
3 - 4
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 1
SPO
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
PEP
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |