Tongeren vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
15º
7º
10
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TON
0 - 1
KOS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 2
TON
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RUP
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RCL
0 - 0
TON
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TON
3 - 0
TEM
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
KFC
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
RCL
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 2
RAC
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |