Tongeren vs Mechelen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
12º
5º
54
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
52% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 3
TON
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TON
1 - 2
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 3
TON
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 1
TON
24%
20%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
EEN
2 - 3
TON
12%
16%
72%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MEC
82%
13%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MEC
2 - 0
BOC
5%
14%
80%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 4
MEC
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MEC
4 - 0
LIE
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
MEC
0 - 2
AND
16%
21%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |