Tongeren vs Lyra-Lierse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
12º
5º
55
4º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
52% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
TON
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 1
BWI
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RCL
2 - 6
TON
19%
22%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TON
2 - 3
KSC
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 0
TON
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lyra-Lierse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LYR
1 - 1
BWI
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PEP
0 - 2
LYR
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LYR
2 - 2
LIL
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
LYR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LYR
6 - 0
BER
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |