Tongeren vs KSC City Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
8º
22
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
TON
49%
23%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TON
0 - 2
LYR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KVV
3 - 2
TON
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
TON
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KSC City Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RUP
3 - 2
KSC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KSC
1 - 5
RAC
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 0
KSC
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
MEC
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 3
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |