Tongeren vs Bocholter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
15º
7º
5
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 79% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TON
1 - 1
RUP
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 1
TON
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TON
0 - 1
KOS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BED
1 - 1
KVV
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
2 - 0
HAD
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 0
KVV
68%
17%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |