Tonga vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
14.9%
81.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
20%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
21.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 5
TON
2%
13%
86%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
TON
0 - 22
AUS
2%
16%
82%
|
20 | 89 | 69 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
TON
1 - 0
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +5 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
TON
2 - 0
COK
18%
25%
57%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +7 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
0 - 2
AUS
6%
20%
74%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
1 - 2
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
2 - 0
MAS
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |