Tonga vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
15.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
19.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.6%
2-0
18%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.2%
+1
14.2%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
5.4%
0.7%
Win probability
0.15
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1658%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
6%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
4 - 0
TON
90%
8%
2%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
TON
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
TON
88%
10%
3%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 15
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
5 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 7
SAM
2%
11%
88%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
5 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
ASA
0 - 10
PNG
1%
9%
90%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 54 | 49 | 0 |