Tondela vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 3
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BMA
1 - 0
OLI
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCF
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
OLI
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |