Tondela vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OLH
1 - 1
TON
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
TON
4 - 2
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
TON
1 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
TON
0 - 2
NAC
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TON
0 - 0
ARO
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 2
MAR
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRA
67%
22%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEX
1 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |