Tondela vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TON
0 - 1
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TON
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TON
0 - 1
LEX
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
TON
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
TON
3 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
LEX
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |