Tondela vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 1
TON
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TON
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
TON
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
UNM
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
BRA
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
NAV
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
BRA
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |