Tondela vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
TON
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
ANA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 5
TON
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TON
2 - 0
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
TON
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
ANG
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 3
SAO
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAD
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |