Tondela vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CIN
1 - 2
TON
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TON
1 - 0
AMA
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
TON
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 2
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 1
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 2
ANA
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PAD
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 78 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAD
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |