Tondela vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TON
1 - 0
COI
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GON
1 - 0
TON
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TON
0 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
ALI
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 1
OPE
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
ANA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
OPE
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
CIN
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |