Tondela vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 3
TON
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
FCP
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
TON
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
TON
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
SCP
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
8%
17%
75%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 5
POR
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GFC
2 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |