Tondela vs Vale Formoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
17%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
TON
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TON
1 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FEI
2 - 4
TON
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
VST
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vale Formoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 3
COI
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
UDL
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | +16 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
5 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
5%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |