Tondela vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
OLH
3 - 1
TON
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BMA
1 - 1
TON
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TON
4 - 2
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
TON
28%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 0
TRO
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
OLH
3 - 0
CHA
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BMA
1 - 1
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |