Tondela vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
4 - 0
TON
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FAM
2 - 1
TON
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TON
0 - 1
SPB
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 1
PAÇ
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 0
ARO
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 1
MOR
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
ARO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 3
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |