Tondela vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
TON
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TON
3 - 4
MAR
17%
24%
58%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
TON
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TON
1 - 1
VIT
14%
23%
63%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
TON
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ARO
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
PAÇ
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |