Prev. Taça da Liga 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Tondela vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
TON
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
TON
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TON
1 - 0
FEI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TON
1 - 1
ACV
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LEX
1 - 1
TON
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
ARO
55%
25%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPB
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |