Tondela vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
TON
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |