Tondela vs Aliados Lordelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
TON
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TON
0 - 2
ANG
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 2
TON
14%
24%
62%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TON
5 - 2
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
5 - 0
SAO
35%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 1
ALI
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 3
ANA
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
ALI
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |