Tondela U17 vs Palmeiras FC U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
6º
6
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 3
TON
18%
18%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
RIO
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FAM
3 - 1
TON
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAD
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
5 - 0
TON
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras FC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
PAL
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 5
PAD
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
MAR
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 2
PAL
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |