Tondela Sub 15 vs Vitória Guimarães Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
82.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.5%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
10º
10º
34
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
TON
67%
17%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 0
TON
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TON
1 - 6
POR
6%
13%
82%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
TON
92%
5%
2%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TON
0 - 5
BNF
7%
15%
79%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
POR
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
21%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
BNF
30%
23%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
VIT
59%
20%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |