Tondela U15 vs União de Leiria U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
7º
2º
32
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 1
TON
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MRV
0 - 1
TON
44%
21%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 3
TON
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
TON
10%
15%
76%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
5 - 1
BEN
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
GFN
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 4
FAT
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
UDL
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
MAR
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |