Tonbridge Angels vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 1
TON
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 2
TON
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TON
2 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TON
1 - 0
HAM
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DAR
3 - 1
TON
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
THU
0 - 3
DAR
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DOV
3 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |