Tonbridge Angels vs Harborough Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 1
TON
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TON
1 - 0
DOR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 2
TON
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
TON
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
TON
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LOW
1 - 0
HAR
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
BRO
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
AFC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
HAR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
BCF
8%
14%
78%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |