Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
TON
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
TON
2 - 0
CON
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TON
1 - 2
HEM
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TON
0 - 2
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EBB
0 - 1
TON
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
HOR
4 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOW
1 - 3
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 1
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
HOR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |