Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
TON
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TON
0 - 4
CHM
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TON
2 - 3
FAR
44%
23%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
TON
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TON
2 - 1
MAI
59%
21%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAI
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
HOR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
TON
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
SAL
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |