Tona vs At. Sant Just analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RUB
5 - 2
TON
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
VIC
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 3
TON
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GUI
4 - 1
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TON
2 - 0
GUI
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sant Just
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SJU
1 - 2
STB
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 5
SJU
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SJU
3 - 1
JUP
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SJU
4 - 0
TAR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
SJU
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |