Tona vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
14º
11º
48
2º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UES
4 - 0
TON
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 2
TON
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TON
0 - 1
SCR
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
TON
52%
22%
27%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TON
4 - 0
RAP
50%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOS
3 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 1
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GIR
4 - 1
HOS
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
0 - 1
EUR
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
HOS
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |