Tona vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
3º
2º
3
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
4 | 70 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 63 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 61 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 58 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 27 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 4
TON
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
TER
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
TON
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
RCD
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
TON
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 0
CER
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECG
1 - 2
BAD
16%
24%
60%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EUR
0 - 0
BAD
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
LES
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 2
SAB
13%
20%
68%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |