Tomori Berat vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
TOM
66%
20%
13%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BYL
2 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 4
FLA
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOM
46%
26%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 3
ELB
32%
26%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BYL
16%
24%
61%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ELB
2 - 1
LUZ
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
5 - 2
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BES
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |