Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VOR
1 - 1
TOM
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
LUS
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
TOM
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
TOM
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
0 - 2
KOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 0
BUT
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
LUS
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
TOM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
TER
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |