Tomori Berat vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
58
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOM
46%
26%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 3
ELB
32%
26%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BES
2 - 0
TOM
52%
23%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 1
APO
17%
24%
60%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
TOM
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 2
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
BES
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VLZ
4 - 0
FLA
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -2 |