Tomori Berat vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
38
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
TOM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
5 - 1
TOM
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
KRU
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 2
SOP
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 1
BES
31%
28%
42%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 0
BES
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |