Tomori Berat vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
TOM
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
VOR
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KRU
3 - 1
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 3
LUS
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 2
BYL
15%
24%
62%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
APO
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
FLA
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
APO
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ELB
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |