Tomislav vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ČEL
2 - 2
TMS
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TMS
0 - 0
GOR
88%
9%
4%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
TMS
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TMS
3 - 1
MLA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 4
TMS
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 2
POS
26%
26%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POS
4 - 0
SLO
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 1
POS
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |