Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
Tomelloso vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1991 |
UBC
0 - 2
TOM
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
TOM
0 - 3
FCB
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
GIR
3 - 1
TOM
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
TOM
1 - 1
GAN
38%
29%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
OLI
1 - 2
TOM
40%
32%
28%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1991 |
UBC
0 - 2
TOM
24%
28%
48%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
UBC
2 - 1
MAD
70%
20%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 5
UBC
47%
27%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
UBC
0 - 0
QRE
62%
23%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAN
1 - 0
UBC
31%
29%
40%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |