Tomelloso vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 1
TOM
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 0
AGD
30%
31%
39%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UBC
3 - 0
TOM
55%
27%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 0
DBN
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
TOM
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
MEL
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
RJA
0 - 0
ECI
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 0
RJA
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 1
UBC
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DBN
0 - 0
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |