Tomelloso vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
TOM
3 - 0
GIM
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
CDB
4 - 2
TOM
72%
15%
14%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
TOM
3 - 0
PUL
66%
17%
18%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BET
3 - 0
TOM
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
TOM
4 - 2
CDT
56%
19%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAR
69%
16%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
IMP
4 - 3
RJA
68%
16%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
RJA
7 - 3
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ELC
6 - 2
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
RJA
6 - 2
LIN
89%
7%
4%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |