Tomelloso vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
11.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
TOM
4 - 0
FER
76%
13%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
AVI
7 - 1
TOM
61%
18%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TOM
3 - 1
MAN
82%
11%
8%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CHA
2 - 1
TOM
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
TOM
3 - 1
GIM
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SEG
6 - 3
MAN
82%
10%
8%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
MAN
0 - 2
SLA
31%
20%
49%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TOM
3 - 1
MAN
82%
11%
8%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
MAN
1 - 2
CPC
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FER
9 - 2
MAN
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -3 |