Tomelloso vs Chozas de Canales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
TOM
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 0
UDS
32%
27%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QRE
2 - 0
TOM
45%
27%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 1
ALM
24%
27%
49%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
TOM
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chozas de Canales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 3
ROD
12%
21%
67%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 2
CHO
75%
17%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 2
QRE
30%
26%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
CHO
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |