Tomelloso vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.1%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAJ
0 - 1
TOM
47%
28%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
0 - 1
CFP
39%
30%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
ALC
23%
28%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
TOM
71%
20%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 5
UBC
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PON
0 - 0
BUR
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 1
SSR
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAJ
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |