Tomelloso vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1993 |
CAD
1 - 0
TOM
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
RCF
1 - 1
TOM
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
TOM
0 - 1
LUG
36%
32%
33%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1993 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAD
25%
27%
48%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
TOM
3 - 0
GIM
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARO
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 2
SPB
33%
31%
36%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARO
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIL
27%
28%
45%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
61%
22%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |